Wednesday, October 4, 2023

Narratives vs Facts about UNP TIF displacement

 October 4, 2023

Today's episode of "Can you believe the UNP Arena hype?"

There are facts and there are narratives about facts. It is important to know the difference. 

Fact: an empty field along the fast growing interstate did not need public subsidy to create a power retail shopping center anchored by Target - which was moving there with or without the TIF.  Even the consultants at the time noted that the area would develop without TIF.

Fact: not a single INCH of the promised high end retail/lifestyle center has been built.  Not an INCH.  Neighbors you can revisit the promises - "lifestyle" center was the promise not  what we got - an dressed up strip mall with a bunch of stores relocating from the rest of Norman.  

Fact: retail growth, hotels and restaurants in the UNP area is undeniable. The real issue is whether there has been NET growth in Norman as a whole because of the UNP TIF tax diversion.  Did the UNP growth come at the expense of growth in other shopping areas - Ed Noble parkway?  See graph in the comments below which suggest that UNP growth cannibalized growth in the rest of Norman. 

Fact: it is hard to trick markets.  We see growth in SE Norman along Classen and Highway 9 - in undeveloped land without a TIF.  Retail follows market demand. 

Fact: TIF funds are not free money. These are taxes that are diverted from the General fund. At one point the UNP was siphoning about 10% of the general fund.  If we divert 10% of funds to get 7% of GF tax revenues - is that a positive payoff?  

Fact: When we divert general fund revenues, we can't do other things - increase police force, keep up with bridge/road maintenance, etc.  

Fact: there is no evidence that relocating where OU Basketball and gymnastics competitions are played  will lead to NET new spending sufficient to generate a return on the investment to TAXPAYERS.  When the City of Lincoln Nebraska paid to build a new off campus arena with entertainment area, they did not see a change in their growth trend in taxable sales from bars/restaurants, hotels, or car rentals.   

Should Norman do it again? is the better question.  And should taxpayers get to vote on a cost that is bigger than the 15 year Norman Forward program?

[Response to Chip Minty's column in the Norman Transcript]
https://www.normantranscript.com/opinion/guest-column-can-norman-do-it-again/article_b152fa92-6208-11ee-9dd2-37c7d0a0125b.html?fbclid=IwAR3iMGjK-lQOPqzZcdIlC9Irux0mFleKCrGl4KX9XmM86qYeTOo3NMxRSvc

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