Thursday, September 7, 2023

Will joining SEC create population boom?

 September 7, 2023

In today's edition of Can we believe the Arena Proposal hype? Let's consider the claim that joining the SEC will change everything.

One way to assess this is to look at what happened to the cities hosting the last two teams which switched to the SEC,  Missouri and Texas A&M.  (This was the first SEC expansion since 1991 when Arkansas and South Caroline joined)

The graph below uses Decennial Census data.  We see that Columbia and College Station had faster growth in the decade before the transition compared with Norman.  This faster growth was not sustained after the transition.  

This simple look at the population data does not support the claim that joining the SEC made a huge impact on the population of these comparable SEC towns.  

Should we expect the transition to have a different impact on Norman?



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